Heavy Rain Here To Stay

A pattern of very heavy rain is now upon the region. As a result, a Flood Watch is in effect for the region until 6 AM Sunday.


Heavy rain is expected throughout the day today with chilly temperatures. Temperatures will likely remain in the low 40s across the region. Northerly winds will be a bit gusty as well. Rain will continue overnight as lows drop into the low 40s.

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Rain will continue on Thursday as temperatures warm back into the mid 50s. Rain may move out of the region by Thursday afternoon, providing a bit of a break.

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Rain should move back into the region from the south Thursday night. Temperatures will drop back into the low 50s. Winds will likely shift back out of the south. Rain totals by Friday morning could be around 2.5 to 3″.

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Rain will continue on Friday as a frontal system stalls over the region. Temperatures will be mild, topping out in the mid 60s. Some thunderstorms may be possible as well, which could enhance the heavy rain. This will continue Friday night.

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Rain and storms will continue on Saturday. Most of the rain should lift north out of the region during the afternoon hours. This may allow us to warm into the 70s. Some strong to severe storms may be possible Saturday evening as a cold front works through the region. The Storm Prediction Center has already highlighted our region in a risk for severe weather. This may change over the coming days.

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That should wrap up this forecast. Thanks for stopping by and I hope you’re able to stay dry today!

-Meteorologist Jacob Wilkins

Nice Today; Changes Coming

Scattered showers this morning will give way to cloudy skies during the late morning and afternoon hours. Southerly winds may gust up to 30 mph as they usher in very warm temperatures. Highs will top out in the low to mid 70s.

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A line of heavy showers and storms will form to the north of the region along a cold front. This cold front will move through the region in the early morning hours Friday, leading to lows in the low to mid 40s as the wind shifts out of the north.

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Temperatures will drop throughout the day on Friday. A cold rain is expected to give way to isolated showers Friday afternoon. Temperatures by 3 PM will be in the upper 30s. Northerly winds could gust up to 25 mph.

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Mostly cloudy skies will still be in place Friday night, which will limit how far lows go down. Right now, I’m expecting lows to fall right around freezing.

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More rain should spread into the region from the south as highs work their way back into the mid 40s on Saturday.

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That should wrap up this forecast. Thanks for stopping by and I hope you have a wonderful Thursday!

-Meteorologist Jacob Wilkins

Great Today; Rain & Ice Possible this Weekend

Today will be quite beautiful. Southerly winds around 5 to 15 mph will usher in much warmer temperatures across the region under partly cloudy skies. Highs will approach 60°!

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Rain will begin to work into the region tonight. Lows will drop into the mid 40s.

Rainy Weekend

A rainy, chilly day is expected Saturday. Highs will remain in the upper 40s across the region. Heavy rain will move into the region Saturday afternoon and remain in place for much of the evening. We’ll need to continue to watch for a period of freezing rain or drizzle late Saturday night and into Sunday morning.

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More rain is expected Sunday. This time, temperatures will be limited to the upper 30s. We’ll need to watch for yet another period of freezing rain Sunday night into Monday morning as lows drop into the mid to upper 20s.

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As of now, it looks like the zone for best ice potential will be to the north and west of us Saturday night and then to the south and east of us Sunday night. I’ll continue to monitor this over the next couple days. Have a great day!

-Meteorologist Jacob Wilkins

Winter Weather Advisory Issued

A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued by the National Weather Service. The advisory is in effect from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM Wednesday.

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A complicated forecast is on tap for the region today and tonight. The latest data has come in a bit more hopeful, suggesting surface temperatures remain above freezing until early in the morning Wednesday.

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Let’s take a look at today’s forecast. We’re waking up to temperatures around 32°. Despite northeast flow, we should warm into the mid to upper 30s under mostly cloudy skies through this afternoon.

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Rain will begin to move into the region from the south this evening after 4 PM. Temperatures will likely hover just above the freezing during much of the overnight hours. However, if temperatures dip below freezing we could have some major ice problems. The below simulated radar gif is valid from 5 PM to Midnight.

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Models have consistently brushed a fine line of freezing rain along the Ohio River. Like I said in yesterday’s forecast, the northeast side of the county will be more prone to icing than the southwest side of the county. It all depends on where the freezing line falls. In the map below, Marshall County is separated between two corridors or freezing rain. Overall, I think 0.1″ – 0.2″ of ice may be possible across portions of the county, but hopefully it’s just a plain, cold rain.

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I do believe there will be an eventual transition to freezing rain and sleet by early morning Wednesday. This may lead to the development of a few slick spots on area roadways. Rain will likely wash away salt and brine. Wednesday morning temperatures will be in the upper 20s. Black ice can be very dangerous on the roads and sidewalks.

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Chilly Wednesday

The wintry mix should move out of the region by 9 AM. Clouds should begin to depart the region as highs top out in the mid 30s. This will allow for some melting of whatever accumulations we receive.

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High pressure will move directly overhead Wednesday night. This will lead to clear and cold conditions as lows drop to around 20°.

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Warmer Thursday

Southerly surface flow will return to the region on Thursday. This, combined with mostly sunny skies, will lead to much warmer temperatures. Highs are expected to top out in the mid 40s.

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Looking Ahead

Even warmer conditions are expected Friday before another shot of rain and wintry weather move into the region Friday night and into Saturday. More details regarding that will come in later forecasts.

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That should wrap up this forecast. Thanks for stopping by and I hope you have a wonderful day!

-Meteorologist Jacob Wilkins

Ice Possible Tuesday Night

A cold start for many folks this morning as temperatures are currently in the upper teens. Weak southerly flow, will develop this afternoon and help temperatures into the mid 30s despite mostly cloudy skies to start the day.

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The southerly winds should calm overnight as clouds move back into the region. Overnight lows will drop to around 28°.

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A frontal boundary will stall to the south and east of the region on Tuesday. This will lead to a bit of a complicated forecast. Highs will top out in the upper 30s under increasing cloud cover.

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Icy Tuesday Night?

Surface low pressure to the south of the region will lead to the development of northerly winds Tuesday evening and overnight. The current NAM model suggests temperatures will hover around the freezing mark from 6 PM to 3 AM (the pink line), before dropping well below freezing Wednesday morning.

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Meanwhile, winds in the lower levels of the atmosphere will be out of the south. This will keep temperatures warmer above the surface  until Wednesday morning.

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This scenario sets the stage for a potential icing event Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. As of now, Marshall County is right along the “battle zone”. This means we’re not sure if warm air or cold air will win out. It all depends on where the freezing line ends up. The latest NAM model suggests the northwest portion of the county may get ice, while the southeast portion may just receive rain.

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Chilly Wednesday

The precipitation should move out of the region Wednesday morning, and may end as a little bit of snow. Temperatures are expected to warm above freezing Wednesday under partly cloudy skies, which should help melt any ice accumulations.

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Stay tuned to the latest forecasts for more information. Thanks for stopping by and I hope you have a wonderful day!

-Meteorologist Jacob Wilkins

Cold Today; Chilly Weekend

The cold front brought some snow to the region yesterday, as expected. It also brought some cold temperatures to the region. Temperatures in the upper teens at 9 AM should “warm” to around freezing by this afternoon despite sunny skies.

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Clouds will be on the increase overnight as lows drop into the low to mid 20s.

High pressure will move to the east of the region on Saturday. This will signal the return of southerly flow to the region. Thus, we should see warming into the mid 40s despite mostly sunny skies.

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Southerly flow will continue on Saturday as more moisture begins to work into the region. This should keep temperatures warm enough to remain all rain as of now. We also shouldn’t see any icing issues Sunday morning. According to the hi-res NAM we could see up to 1/4″ of rain.

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Southerly flow will continue on Sunday morning ahead of an approaching cold front. This will warm temperatures into the mid 40s once again. Some moisture may work into the region Sunday evening, leading to another round of potential light snow.

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That should wrap up this forecast. Thanks for stopping by and I hope you have a great Friday!

-Meteorologist Jacob Wilkins

Windy Wednesday; Rain/Snow Thursday

Warm conditions are expected today thanks to strong southwest surface flow. Southwest winds of 15 to 20 mph may occasionally gust up to 35 mph. This will lead to highs in the upper 50s. Be sure to tie down loose objects outside!

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We’ll remain fairly mild overnight thanks to those southwest winds and increasing cloud cover. The GFS model says we’ll remain in the mid 40s.

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A cold front will move through the region on Thursday. Temperatures ahead of the front will warm into the upper 40s before the front moves through in the late morning and early afternoon.

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The models are split in regard to how fast the moisture moves out of the region. The NAM is faster, suggesting less rain and very little chance of snow Thursday night.

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Meanwhile the GFS is slower, suggesting a bit more rain and a bit more snow Thursday night. Hopefully, we’ll know a bit more about this this afternoon.

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Friday will be cold, as highs will struggle into the low 30s despite sunny skies.

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That should wrap up this forecast. Thanks for stopping by and I hope you have a great hump day!

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-Meteorologist Jacob Wilkins