We have a threat if strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon. The remnants of an overnight thunderstorm complex to the west will move into the region today, providing sufficient lift across the area for thunderstorms to form.
The aforementioned remnants will interact with hot, moist air. Highs will warm into the mid to upper 80s, while dew points remain oppressive and in the low 70s. This air mass will lead to the development of moderate instability. Instability is the fuel for most thunderstorms.
Numerous thunderstorms should form during the afternoon and evening hours across the region. A couple storms may be possible around noon, but the main line should materialize after 4 PM.
The Storm Prediction Center has outlined the region in an “Enhanced” risk (Level 3 out of 5) of severe weather. Damaging wind and large hail will be the primary hazards, however an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out if storms interact with existing outflow boundaries.
More Storms Friday
Another chance of thunderstorms exist on Friday. Though a widespread severe weather event is not expected. Highs will warm into the upper 80s once again, despite a cold front flirting with the region.
Overnight lows will drop back into the upper 60s. A few isolated thunderstorms may continue into the overnight hours.
Severe Weather to Return Saturday?
A southward diving system will approach the region on Saturday. This will again provide a chance for organized severe storms. Highs will warm into the upper 80s to low 90s. Thunderstorms will likely move into the region during the evening and overnight. As of now, the Storm Prediction Center has placed the region in a “Slight” risk (Level 2 out of 5) of severe weather.
That should wrap up this forecast. Be sure to stay tuned to local media for the latest severe weather information. Have a safe day!
-Meteorologist Jacob Wilkins