Fortunately most of the icy conditions stayed to the east of the region, as expected. Temperatures warmed quite a bit more than expected yesterday, topping out at 44°, which is the warmest temperature since December 22nd according to the Kentucky Mesonet.
Rain should gradually push to the east of the region throughout the day today. All in all, Draffenville has picked up around 0.7″ of rain since it began yesterday afternoon. Below is the HRRR model depiction of what radar could look like through 6 PM.
Afternoon highs will likely top out around 40° under mostly cloudy skies and light rain or drizzle. We should completely dry up late this afternoon and into this evening as lows drop to around 34°.
Slight upper level ridging will move into the region on Tuesday. High pressure will also move into the region as a result, leading to fair conditions overall. However, we may get stuck with some morning fog and clouds. Highs will likely top out around 46°.
Big Time Warm Up Wednesday
A few showers may be possible on Tuesday evening and into the overnight hours as a warm front lifts through the region. Lows on Tuesday night will remain mild and in the mid 40s. Below is the Hi-Res NAM depiction of radar imagery from 6 PM Tuesday to 6 AM Wednesday.
A few showers may be possible on Wednesday morning, then cloudy conditions look to take over. Strong southwest flow behind the aforementioned warm front should lead to very warm temperatures, topping out around 60°! That will feel quite nice after the start to the year we’ve had. It’ll basically feel warm enough to go swimming!
We’ll keep the warm temperatures around on Thursday as highs are once again expected to top out in the low 60s. A strong cold front will likely move through the region on Thursday night, leading to widespread showers and dropping temperatures.
A majority of models develop a secondary low to the south of the region along the aforementioned cold front. This will help to draw cold air into the region faster. Confidence is increasing that a winter storm could develop somewhere in the Mississippi and Ohio River valleys. The placement of winter weather will come down to the exact track of the low pressure system. It is definitely something to watch for.
That should wrap up this forecast. Thanks for stopping by and I hope you have a wonderful day!
-Meteorologist Jacob Wilkins