Soggy Sunday Followed By Warmth

Temperatures dropped to around 31° this morning. However, southerly surface flow should help warm temperatures to around 53° by this afternoon. The southerly wind will be around 10 to 15 mph, but with gusts up to 25 mph possible. Below is a look at the hi-res NAM this afternoon for wind gusts.

NAMNSTMW_sfc_gust_018 (1).png

A few more clouds and rain showers may develop late overnight as lows drop to around 37°. That could make for a chilly rain if you’re out in it!


Soggy Sunday

A soggy Sunday is in the forecast. Southerly flow will pump moisture into the region leading to widespread showers throughout the day on Sunday. This will also limit highs to around 50°. The Hi-Res NAM Model says Marshall County could receive up to 0.35″ inches of rain through Sunday evening.


The rain should exit the region by late Sunday afternoon and into the evening hours. Mostly cloudy skies will stick around as lows drop to around 40°.

Early Week Warmth

The warmth will stick around for a while thanks to the development of a trough over the southwest United States. The trough will lead to prolonged southwest flow aloft, as well as prolonged warmth. Highs will be in the mid 50s Monday, followed by topping out in the low 60s through Thursday.


The warmth will come to an end in the late week as a cold front moves through the region Friday morning.


Christmas Winter Weather

I’ve been eyeing a potential winter storm during the week of Christmas for quite some time now. In fact, I first mentioned potential wintry weather on Christmas week back on December 4th. I’m fairly confident there will be a winter storm, I’m just not sure where the precipitation sets up. The GFS places the precipitation band right over the region, whereas the European model suppresses it well to the south.

GFS Model
GFS Model
European Model
European Model

Right now we’ll just have to wait and see how the system evolves over time. But, let this serve as a first “heads up” that travel could be interesting on the days leading up to Christmas. I’m watching it closely…


That should wrap up this forecast. Thanks for stopping by and I hope you have a wonderful day!

-Meteorologist Jacob Wilkins

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