Monday AM Forecast (11/13/17)

Today – Mostly Cloudy – High 51° / Tonight – Mostly Cloudy – Low 38°

Thick cloud cover kept temperatures relatively mild across the area last night. According to the Kentucky Mesonet, temperatures dropped to 42° at 6 AM as the low. This is five degrees warmer than expected, so not a great forecast by myself.

Kentucky Mesonet Low Temperatures
Kentucky Mesonet Low Temperatures

Conditions won’t warm much thanks the the thick cloud cover in place. A few rays of sunshine may be possible this afternoon, however temperatures will likely top out around 51°.

Mostly cloudy conditions should continue overnight as lows drop to around 38°.

Tuesday – Partly Cloudy – High 57° / Tues Night – Mostly Cloudy – Low 47°

Partly cloudy skies look possible on Tuesday thanks to an approaching system. This, combined with southerly surface flow, will lead to high temperatures around 57°. Southeast wind around 5 mph possible, so not a bad day at all in my book!

Me when I see it may be good golf weather...
Me when I see it may be good golf weather…

Mostly cloudy skies will develop ahead of the next weather system Tuesday night. This will make the low temperature forecast difficult. Right now, we’ll call for a low around 47°. A southerly breeze will also help temperatures remain mild.

Wednesday – Showers Likely – High 55° / Wed Night – Mostly Cloudy – Low 43°

Showers will be likely throughout the day on Wednesday. This will be thanks to a cold front approaching the region from the northwest. The cold front should slide through the region by Wednesday evening.

WPC Forecast Frontal Positions - Valid Wednesday AM - NOAA WPC
WPC Forecast Frontal Positions – Valid Wednesday AM – NOAA WPC

Mostly cloudy skies will be left across the region due to the slow southward movement on the front. A few lingering showers can’t be ruled out as well. Lows will be in the low to mid 40s.


Weather Hazards

Severe Weather Outlook

There appears to at least be a chance of severe weather on Friday. That’s pretty far out there, so a lot can change between now and then. As of now, it seems like a typical cool month high shear, low instability event.

European Model Forecast Low-Level Wind Speed - Valid Friday Evening - weather.us
European Model Forecast Low-Level Wind Speed – Valid Friday Evening – weather.us

This setup is typical of late fall and winter severe weather scenarios. This type of setup usually lends itself to a line of severe thunderstorms with damaging wind being the main threat, with a secondary tornado hazard. The Storm Prediction Center has already outlined a large portion of the Ohio and Mississippi River Valleys for severe weather potential on Friday, so stay tuned!

Severe Weather Outlook - Valid Friday - NOAA SPC
Severe Weather Outlook – Valid Friday – NOAA SPC

Wintry Weather Outlook

No hazardous wintry weather is expected during the next 7 days. Still no significant storms in sight on the models.


That should wrap up this forecast. Be sure to follow @MarshallCoWX on Twitter and Marshall County Weather on Facebook for the latest Marshall County weather information. Have a great Monday!

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