Saturday AM Forecast (10/28/17)

Headlines

  • Cold Today
  • Freeze Warning in effect overnight
  • Warming some next week

Today – Mostly Cloudy & Chilly – High 47° / Tonight – Mostly Clear & Freeze – Low 30°

The main weather story within this forecast is the chilly to cold temperatures expected today. Overnight lows dropped to 30° in Draffenville, which is admittedly much colder than expected.

Kentucky Low Temperatures - Kentucky Mesonet
Kentucky Low Temperatures – Kentucky Mesonet

Partly cloudy skies this morning will give way mostly cloudy conditions throughout the day. This will help warm temperatures only to around 46° this afternoon. Combined with a northwest wind around 10 mph, it’s going to be quite a chilly day!

Clearing Skies Via I-24 Camera At Exit 3 - West Kentucky Star
Clearing Skies Via I-24 Camera At Exit 3 but more clouds expected – West Kentucky Star

Mostly clear skies are expected to develop overnight. This will lead to the development of another freeze across the region as lows drop to around 30°. A Freeze Warning has been issued by the National Weather Service in Paducah, KY in effect from midnight to 10 AM Sunday.

NWS Paducah Freeze Warning
NWS Paducah Freeze Warning

Sunday – Mostly Sunny – High 51° / Sun Night – Partly Cloudy – Low 38°

After the freeze on Sunday morning, temperatures will moderate some thanks to surface ridging. However, temperatures will remain quite cool compared to the seasonal average of 67°. Highs will be some 15 degrees lower than that!

European Model Forecast Temperature Departure from Normal - Valid Sunday 1 PM - wx.graphics
European Model Forecast Temperature Departure from Normal – Valid Sunday 1 PM – wx.graphics

Partly cloudy skies will continue into the overnight as lows drop to the upper 30s.

Monday – Partly Cloudy – High 60° / Mon Night – Partly Cloudy – Low 40°

A dry, weak cold front will approach the region on Monday. However, southwest surface flow ahead of the front will lead to warming conditions. Expect afternoon high temperatures to top out right around 60° before the cold front moves through in the late afternoon hours.

NAM Model Forecast Temperature, Pressure, & Wind - Valid Monday 1 PM - pivotalweather.com
NAM Model Forecast Temperature, Pressure, & Wind – Valid Monday 1 PM – pivotalweather.com

There’s no real chance for moisture to return to the region, thus expect a dry cold frontal passage. Partly cloudy skies can be expected overnight as lows drop to around 40°.

Looking Ahead

A heavy rain signal develops by Tuesday evening as low level winds begin to advect warm, moist air into the region. Expect a rainy period to commence Tuesday through Thursday night. This will lead to rainfall amounts between 1 – 1.5″.

GFS Model Total Accumulated Rainfall Thru Friday - pivotalweather.com
GFS Model Total Accumulated Rainfall Thru Friday – pivotalweather.com

A few thunderstorms may be possible on Thursday. It’s too far out to mention the potential for severe weather, but it is something I’m keeping my eye on! For more Marshall County weather information, follow me on Twitter @MarshallCoWX. Have a great Saturday!

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